After Mike Brown resigned (good riddance), I started to write a recap of what went wrong. There are certainly plenty of legitimate criticisms to be made of everyone involved -- federal, state, and local officials, and even individual facility managers. How in the world can someone fail to evacuate all the patients in their hospital or all the residents in their nursing home?
But I've scrapped that post. A hundred other people have written it already, and a hundred more will do so soon. They all have their own take on who's most to blame for what went wrong (I vote for the state officials, FWIW) and how to "fix" the process (no, please don't federalize it even further!).
I scrapped that post because I decided that -- although there are certainly things that could have been done better -- all in all, the response really wasn't that bad. In under two days, over 80% of the population of New Orleans -- 400,000+ people -- safely evacuated inland, as did I-don't-know-how-many hundreds of thousands of others in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. I don't know if there has ever been such a rapid and complete evacuation of a major American city.
Of the 100,000 who remained in New Orleans, virtually all survived. The death toll, once breathlessly predicted to top 10,000, now looks to be a few hundred. The people who gathered at the Superdome may have been terribly uncomfortable for three days (more uncomfortable than they needed to be, according to the Red Cross), but virtually all of them survived.
Don't forget that this was an intense, cataclysmic storm, worse than anything to hit that part of the country in recorded history. And it caused the complete inundation of a major city -- a city that's largely below sea level.
No other country in the world could have responded to a similarly intense weather event even remotely as well. I'm not talking about third-world countries. I'm pretty certain that if Germany, Britain, France, Italy, Japan, or Korea had faced a comparable catastrophe, there would have been tens of thousands of deaths. And the survivors would have been waiting for the U.S. military to help out.
Sure, let's talk about what went right and what went wrong, and let's try to learn how to do it even better next time. But let's stop the carping and finger-pointing long enough to salute:
All these people deserve a great big pat on the back and our gratitude.
You're right. We should look at the good things about this tragedy. Thank
you for your perspective.
Regarding the estimate of 10,000.
It seemed to me that that number just happened one day, coming out of the
blue. I suspected it was so high in order to be able to report later,
happily, that not that many people got killed after all. Am I just too
suspicious?
The estimate of 10,000 was originally made by Mayor Nagin. I can't speak to
his motivation, of course, but he seemed distraught and sincere. Did he
just pluck the number out of the air, or was it an actual estimate that had
some basis in fact? I don't know. But the media certainly repeated it often
enough to suggest they had some basis for confidence in it. They wouldn't
keep repeating it just to hurt the Bush administration, would they?